| Leader | Role | Current Align % |
Velocity vs Public |
Empathy Index |
Trust Level |
Resonance Gap |
Power Index |
Zen Zone | 12mo Forecast |
Trajectory | Topic Strengths | Topic Risks | Disposition | Citizen Health |
vs Base (42) |
vs Bench (50) |
No Reform Risk |
Empathy Pivot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecornu | Prime Minister | 41 | With (+1) | 0.38 (+0.06) | 0.28 | 80 | Cost of Living | 47% | ↑ Rising | Cost of living, compromise tone | Fragile mandate | Consensus-builder | 56 | 133% | 112% | 0.55 | 0.80 | |
| Vautrin | Health/Solidarity | 37 | With (-1, health +4) | 0.36 (+0.04) | 0.25 | 72 | Health Access | 41% | ↑ Rising | Healthcare staffing, dignity | Low visibility | Protector | 55 | 131% | 110% | 0.50 | 0.78 | |
| Pannier-Runacher | Energy/Climate | 36 | With (0, climate +5) | 0.34 (+0.05) | 0.32 | 60 | Climate as comfort | 41% | ↑ Rising | Climate urgency, youth | Delivery lag | Reframer | 52 | 124% | 104% | 0.48 | 0.75 | |
| Retailleau | Interior | 41 | Partial (security +3, social -4) | 0.40 (+0.03) | 0.30 | 65 | Security/Housing | 44% | ↔ Polarized | Security & immigration | Alienates on cost/health | Polarizer | 48 | 114% | 96% | 0.45 | 0.60 | |
| Létard | Housing | 34 | With (+2) | 0.35 (+0.03) | 0.31 | 63 | Social housing | 37% | ↑ Rising | Housing supply/fairness | Slow delivery | Provider | 45 | 107% | 90% | 0.46 | 0.65 | |
| Tabarot | Transport | 34 | With (+2) | 0.35 (+0.03) | 0.30 | 62 | Commuter mobility | 37% | ↑ Slight | Transport competence | Local irritations | Practical | 44 | 105% | 88% | 0.45 | 0.62 | |
| Ferracci | Industry/Energy | 33 | With (+1) | 0.34 (+0.03) | 0.32 | 60 | Reindustrialization | 36% | ↑ Slight | Industry/jobs narrative | Weak visibility | Builder | 43 | 102% | 86% | 0.42 | 0.60 | |
| Valls | Overseas | 33 | With (+1) | 0.32 (+0.02) | 0.35 | 62 | Overseas cost/security | 35% | ↑ Slight | Regional integration | Low metro salience | Regional anchor | 43 | 102% | 86% | 0.42 | 0.60 | |
| Barrot | Foreign Affairs | 32 | Against (-2) | 0.31 (+0.02) | 0.36 | 55 | Domestic safety link | 34% | → Flat | EU/Ukraine consensus | Domestic irrelevance | Peripheral | 42 | 100% | 84% | 0.38 | 0.55 | |
| Barsacq | Sports/Youth | 32 | With (+1) | 0.34 (+0.03) | 0.32 | 58 | Youth empowerment | 35% | ↑ Slight | Sports cohesion | Not core urgency | Youth anchor | 43 | 102% | 86% | 0.41 | 0.62 | |
| Genevard | Agriculture | 32 | With (+1) | 0.33 (+0.02) | 0.34 | 60 | Farm income fairness | 35% | ↑ Slight | Farmer empathy | Low urban relevance | Ground anchor | 43 | 102% | 86% | 0.42 | 0.60 | |
| Baptiste | Higher Education | 31 | With (+2) | 0.33 (+0.03) | 0.33 | 58 | Student housing | 34% | ↑ Slight | Research/jobs narrative | Low resonance | Academic | 43 | 102% | 86% | 0.41 | 0.61 | |
| Marcangeli | Public Admin | 31 | With (+1) | 0.33 (+0.03) | 0.33 | 58 | Admin simplification | 34% | ↑ Slight | Citizen services | Low resonance | Competence anchor | 42 | 100% | 84% | 0.40 | 0.60 | |
| Saint-Martin | Foreign Trade | 31 | With (0) | 0.33 (+0.02) | 0.34 | 58 | Export/jobs link | 34% | → Flat | Trade/jobs narrative | Low resonance | Connector | 42 | 100% | 84% | 0.40 | 0.58 | |
| Chappaz | AI/Digital | 30 | With (+2) | 0.33 (+0.03) | 0.32 | 58 | Digital trust | 33% | ↑ Slight | Youth/digital economy | Abstract to daily life | Innovator | 42 | 100% | 84% | 0.40 | 0.60 | |
| Darmanin | Justice (ex-Interior) | 38 | Against (-5) | 0.37 (-0.01) | 0.33 | 70 | Education fairness | 37% | ↓ Declining | Security credibility | Seen as harsh | Confrontational | 44 | 105% | 88% | 0.40 | 0.58 | |
| Macron | President | 39 | Against (-6) | 0.35 (-0.04) | 0.42 | 95 | Health dignity | 38% | ↓ Declining | Foreign policy, symbolism | Promises vs reality | Detached | 43 | 102% | 86% | 0.35 | 0.55 | |
| Borne | Education | 33 | Against (-7) | 0.30 (-0.03) | 0.44 | 68 | Teachers & respect | 30% | ↓ Declining | Education knowledge | Pension backlash | Discredited | 41 | 98% | 82% | 0.32 | 0.52 | |
| Lombard | Finance | 34 | Against (-8) | 0.32 (-0.05) | 0.46 | 75 | Wages fairness | 30% | ↓ Declining | Fiscal discipline | Austerity stigma | Technocrat | 40 | 95% | 80% | 0.30 | 0.50 | |
| Dati | Culture | 25 | Against (-4) | 0.28 (0.00) | 0.38 | 50 | Cultural unity | 25% | ↓ Declining | Symbolic unity | Citizen urgency mismatch | Symbolic | 38 | 90% | 76% | 0.25 | 0.45 |